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          中國專家:只要尼泊爾有一個穩定的政府,無論哪個政黨執政中國都表示

          2021年02月02日 09:07  點擊:[]

          中國專家:只要尼泊爾有一個穩定的政府,無論哪個政黨執政中國都表示支持

          2020年12月22日    刊于:《共和報》



          加德滿都,12月22日訊:一位中國學者說,只要尼泊爾有一個穩定的政府,無論哪個政黨執政中國都表示支持。北京外國語大學區域與全球治理研究院高級研究員龍興春發表在《環球時報》上的文章中寫道,中國希望尼泊爾能夠有一個穩定的政府,不要頻繁變動,讓每個人都受益,也有利于中尼關系?!?/p>


          他還寫到:“實際上,只要尼泊爾有一個穩定的政府,無論哪個政黨執政中國都表示支持?!蓖瑫r還是成都世界事務研究院院長的龍興春又表示,中國沒有援助、脅迫或向尼泊爾任何執政黨施加壓力。他在文章中還提到:“中國發揮的協調作用不應被視為干涉尼泊爾內政。印方的指控毫無根據?!边@位學者還指責印度干涉尼泊爾內政,包括指責印度在2015年對尼泊爾封鎖邊境。


          “印度媒體經常挑釁中尼關系,但這不會掀起波瀾。尼泊爾政界人士深知與中國合作的重要性。一些印度媒體的挑撥離間策略注定會失敗?!边@位學者還說,執政的尼泊爾共產黨內部的分裂不利于國家的政治穩定和共產黨的整體利益?!爱斈峁步y一戰線和尼共(毛派)合并時,尼泊爾和國際社會都期望尼泊爾將迎來一個政治穩定時期。此前,尼泊爾政府頻繁變動嚴重損害了該國的社會穩定和經濟增長。不幸的是,僅僅過了兩年,這個國家就可能再次陷入政治動蕩的局面?!?/p>


          “這位中國專家還提到,尼泊爾兩個共產黨尚未完全合并。奧利和普拉昌達領導的勢力可能會將現任共產黨分裂為兩個政黨。這不利于國家的政治穩定和共產黨的大局。第三方,比如尼泊爾社會民主政黨尼泊爾大會黨,可能會從這場混亂中受益?!痹谡劦娇偫韸W利解散議會的決定時,這位中國學者說,解散議會可能會引起巨大的動蕩。


          將在2021年上半年進行的選舉,結果將非常不確定。如果全國大會黨分裂,來自不同勢力的選票將變得非常分散。尼泊爾政治可能會倒退到以前的不確定和不穩定狀態?!痹谡劦侥岵礌栒慰赡艹霈F的情況時,這位中國學者推測,尼泊爾沒有一個政黨能夠獲得議會半數以上的席位。他認為:“會像以前一樣出現聯合政府,這將導致利益分配不均。隨時可能出現叛變情況,導致政府垮臺?!?/p>


           

          Translated by Sun Dali

          Verified by Li Fang

          KATHMANDU, Dec 22: China has no preference about who the ruling party is, but only hopes that Nepal has a stable government, a Chinese scholar has said. In his article published in the state-run Global Times, Long Xingchun, a senior research fellow with the Academy of Regional and Global Governance at the Beijing Foreign Studies University, has said that China hopes Nepal can have a stable government which does not change too frequently so that everyone benefits. “This also includes China-Nepal ties,” he wrote.


          “Actually, China has no preference about who the ruling party is, but only hopes that Nepal has a stable government," he has written further. Xingchun, who is also president of the Chengdu Institute of World Affairs, said that China has not aided, coerced, or imposed pressure on any ruling party of Nepal. "The coordinative role played by China should not be viewed as interference in Nepal's internal politics. The accusations from the Indian side are groundless," he added in his piece. The scholar also accused India of interfering into internal affairs of Nepal, including implementing a blockade in 2015.


          "The Indian media often provoke China-Nepal relations, but this will not send big waves. Politicians in Nepal well understand the importance of cooperating with China. The wedge-driving maneuvers by some Indian media are bound to fail," he said. The scholar also said that the split in the ruling Nepal Communist Party is not favorable to the country's political stability and the communist party overall. "When CPN-UML and the CPN Maoist Centre merged, both Nepal and the international community expected that Nepal would usher a period of political stability. Previously, Nepal's frequent changes in government gravely impaired the country's social stability and economic growth. Unfortunately, the country may fall into political instability once again only after just two years," he said.


          The Chinese expert also mentioned that the merger between Nepal's two communist parties was yet to be fully realized. "Forces led by Oli and Dahal may split the current communist party into two parties. This is unfavorable to the country's political stability and the communist party overall. A third party, such as the Nepali Congress, a social-democratic political party in Nepal, may benefit from this chaos," he said. Talking about Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli's decision to dissolve parliament, the Chinese scholar said that the dissolution of parliament may cause great turmoil.


          "Elections will be held in the first half of 2021, and the result will be highly uncertain. If the NCP splits, votes from different forces will become very scattered. Nepalese politics may backslide into a former state of uncertainty and instability," he said. While talking about the likely scenario of Nepali polity, the Chinese scholar has speculated that no party in the country will be able to obtain over half of the seats in parliament. "A coalition government will emerge, like before, which will lead to an uneven distribution of interests. Defection could occur any time, resulting in a short-lived government," he opined.


          Original Link :

          https://myrepublica.nagariknetwork.com/news/china-has-no-preference-about-which-party-comes-to-power-in-nepal-but-it-wants-a-stable-government-says-a-chinese-expert/

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